{"id":217,"date":"2005-09-24T15:27:19","date_gmt":"2005-09-24T19:27:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/metasj\/2005\/09\/24\/persimmon-forecast-rita-locally-a-cate"},"modified":"2005-09-24T15:27:19","modified_gmt":"2005-09-24T19:27:19","slug":"persimmon-forecast-rita-locally-a-category-0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sj\/2005\/09\/24\/persimmon-forecast-rita-locally-a-category-0\/","title":{"rendered":"Persimmon forecast : Rita locally a Category 0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a name='a1087'><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Our <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">persimmons <\/span>in<span style=\"font-weight: bold;\"> Houston<\/span><br \/>\nare heavy, and fall off in the slightest gust of wind. Any serious<br \/>\nstorm is enough to ruin the year&#8217;s crop. None fell off this morning; it<br \/>\nwas just like a strong <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">thunderstorm<\/span>.&nbsp;<br \/>\nElsewhere : sporadic trees and branches were down elsewhere in the<br \/>\ncity, with a localized gust of 70mph; one high-rise lost a few windows; 300,000<br \/>\nare without electricity.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">Galveston<\/span>,<br \/>\ntoo, was largely untouched.&nbsp; East Texas had it worst; but Beaumont<br \/>\nescaped destruction.&nbsp; No towns were flattened, or even mauled;<br \/>\nthough some houses lost roofs and some buildings suffered heavy damage.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, there was extensive<span style=\"font-weight: bold;\"> <\/span>highway <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">gridlock<\/span>,<br \/>\nwith people on the roads <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">for over 24 hours<\/span>; some deaths from<br \/>\nheatstroke, many people running out of gas b\/c of the stalled traffic<br \/>\nand leaving on their A\/C in the 100-degree heat. I wonder if people used up the breakdown lanes&#8230;&nbsp; Yesterday at<br \/>\n6pm, there were still people stranded on the road w\/o gas, despite many<br \/>\nlocals (in addition to official FEMA efforts) making sorties to bring gas and food to those poor souls.&nbsp; Here is <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.chron.com\/rita\/archives\/2005\/09\/stranded_in_dal.html\">a typical <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">evac experience<\/span><\/a> from Dwight.<\/p>\n<p>The<br \/>\nunofficial evacuation orders were too broad (&#8216;everyone in the hundred<br \/>\nyear flood plain!&#8217;), too thorough (&#8216;everyone get out of the city&#8217;<br \/>\nrather than &#8216;everyone get to higher ground&#8217;), and too individualist<br \/>\n(&#8216;everyone to his\/her own car!&#8217;). <\/p>\n<p>The standard evac orders were fine &#8212; here is the canonical <a href=\"http:\/\/www.txdps.state.tx.us\/dem\/Hurricanemaps\/GalvestonStudyAreaMap.pdf\">Galveston\/Houston evacuation map<\/a>.<br \/>\nNote that even the &#8220;C&#8221; evacuation zones, for Category 4\/5 hurricanes,<br \/>\nonly come into Houston as far as the East 610 Loop (to which point the<br \/>\nship channel extends).&nbsp; <span style=\"font-weight: bold;\">However<\/span>, <\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The orders were also amazingly persistent :&nbsp; &#8216;ALTHOUGH<br \/>\nTRAFFIC HAS BEEN HEAVY AS THE TRAFFIC MANAGEMENT PLAN HAS BEEN<br \/>\nIMPLEMENTED&#8230;TRAFFIC MOVEMENT SHOULD ACCELERATE. DO NOT LET THE<br \/>\nTRAFFIC DELAYS HALT YOUR EFFORTS TO EVACUATE.&#8217; was repeated a few<br \/>\ntimes, even after the originally hoped-for acceleration didn&#8217;t happen.<\/li>\n<li>Complementary orders were not given (if you are in the following safe zones, STAY OFF THE HIGHWAY)<\/li>\n<li>&#8220;Evacuation&#8221; was not well-defined.&nbsp; Do you have to drive 3<br \/>\nhours out of the city?&nbsp; Is it enough to get to places within city<br \/>\nlimits, where there is much more highway space?<\/li>\n<li>Extra mandatory evacuation orders were made up on the fly.&nbsp;<br \/>\nWhoops!&nbsp; The mayor has tried to write it off as a slip of the<br \/>\ntongue, but many officials made it. &nbsp; &#8220;If you live in a<br \/>\nflood-prone area&#8230;&#8221; &#8212; Houston, Pearland, and others issued such<br \/>\nwarnings.&nbsp; Since the 2001 flood affected many areas that had never<br \/>\nflooded before, this worried many people who had nothing to fear from<br \/>\nflooding thanks to Rita&#8230; the city had been parched for two weeks, and<br \/>\nits bayous were empty.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>When you tell people to stop trusting their own judgment and to<br \/>\ntrust yours, you suddenly have an enormously greater responsibility to<br \/>\ncare for them&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our persimmons in Houston are heavy, and fall off in the slightest gust of wind. Any serious storm is enough to ruin the year&#8217;s crop. None fell off this morning; it was just like a strong thunderstorm.&nbsp; Elsewhere : sporadic trees and branches were down elsewhere in the city, with a localized gust of 70mph; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":135,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[212],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-217","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-null"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7iVvB-3v","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/217","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/135"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=217"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/217\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=217"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=217"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sj\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=217"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}