{"id":4861,"date":"2013-09-18T02:32:40","date_gmt":"2013-09-18T06:32:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.martinkramer.org\/sandbox\/?p=4861"},"modified":"2013-09-18T02:32:40","modified_gmt":"2013-09-18T06:32:40","slug":"israel-likes-its-u-s-presidents-strong","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/2013\/09\/israel-likes-its-u-s-presidents-strong\/","title":{"rendered":"Israel likes its U.S. presidents strong"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The <i>Wall Street Journal<\/i> ran a <a href=\"http:\/\/online.wsj.com\/article\/SB10001424127887323595004579069452022413522.html\">symposium<\/a> over the weekend about world reactions to Obama\u2019s Syria turnaround. I wrote the contribution on Israel. Many aspects of the \u201cturnaround,\u201d especially the enhanced role of Russia in the Middle East, impact Israel. But I focused instead on Obama\u2019s earlier \u201cturnaround\u201d: his decision to seek authorization for military action from Congress. Excerpt:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>What Israelis found alarming was the way Mr. Obama shifted the burden of decision. Every one of Mr. Obama\u2019s Syrian maneuvers was viewed as a dry run for his conduct in a likely future crisis over Iran\u2019s nuclear drive. That\u2019s where the stakes are highest for Israel, and that\u2019s where Israelis sometimes question Obama\u2019s resolve.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>Israelis always imagined they would go to Mr. Obama with a crucial piece of highly sensitive intelligence on Iranian progress, and he would make good on his promise to block Iran with a swift presidential decision. So Mr. Obama\u2019s punt to Congress over what John Kerry called an \u201cunbelievably small\u201d strike left Israelis rubbing their eyes. If this is now standard operating procedure in Washington, can Israel afford to wait if action against Iran becomes urgent?<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>Israel\u2019s standing in Congress and U.S. public opinion is high, but the Syrian episode has shown how dead-set both are against U.S. military action in the Middle East. Israel won\u2019t have videos of dying children to sway opinion, and it won\u2019t be able to share its intelligence outside the Oval Office. Bottom line: The chance that Israel may need to act first against Iran has gone up.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Why was Obama\u2019s recourse to Congress so alarming? Israel has long favored strong presidential prerogatives. That\u2019s because the crises that have faced Israel rarely ever leave it the time to work the many halls of Congress. Israel discovered the dangers of presidential weakness in May 1967, when Israel went to President Lyndon Johnson to keep a commitment\u2014a \u201cred line\u201d set by a previous administration\u2014and Johnson balked. He insisted he would have to secure congressional support first. That show of presidential paralysis left Israel\u2019s top diplomat shaken, and set the stage for Israel\u2019s decision to launch a preemptive war.<\/p>\n<p>2013 isn\u2019t 1967. But Israel long ago concluded that the only thing as worrisome as a diffident America is a diffident American president\u2014and that a president\u2019s decision to resort to Congress, far from being a constitutional imperative, is a sign of trouble at the top.<\/p>\n<p><b><span id=\"more-833320\"><\/span>\u201cNot worth five cents\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignright\" style=\"margin: 5px 10px;float: right\" alt=\"Eban and Johnson, May 26, 1967\" src=\"http:\/\/www.martinkramer.org\/sandbox\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/EbanJohnsonsmall.jpg\" width=\"237\" height=\"304\" \/><\/p>\n<p>What did Israel want from Lyndon Johnson in May 1967? On May 22, in the midst of rising tensions across the region, Egypt\u2019s president Gamal Abdul Nasser announced the closure of the Straits of Tiran to Israel-bound ships headed for the port of Eilat, effectively blockading it. More than a decade before that, in 1956, Israel had broken a similar Egyptian blockade by invading and occupying the Sinai. Israel withdrew in 1957, partly in return for an American <a href=\"http:\/\/history.state.gov\/historicaldocuments\/frus1955-57v17\/d78\">assurance<\/a> that the United States would be \u201cprepared to exercise the right of free and innocent passage [through the Straits] and to join with others to secure general recognition of this right.\u201d In 1967, when Nasser reimposed Egypt\u2019s blockade, Israel asked the United States to make good on that 1957 commitment, by leading an international flotilla through the Straits to Eilat. Israeli foreign minister Abba Eban flew to Washington and met with Johnson in the Yellow Oval Room on May 26 to make Israel\u2019s case.<\/p>\n<p>Johnson astonished Eban by pleading that he didn\u2019t have sufficient authority to act. The U.S. <a href=\"http:\/\/history.state.gov\/historicaldocuments\/frus1964-68v19\/d77\">memorandum<\/a> of conversation summarized it this way:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>President Johnson said he is of no value to Israel if he does not have the support of his Congress, the Cabinet and the people. Going ahead without this support would not be helpful to Israel\u2026<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>We did not know what our Congress would do. We are fully aware of what three past Presidents have said but this is not worth five cents if the people and the Congress did not support the President\u2026<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>If he were to take a precipitous decision tonight he could not be effective in helping Israel\u2026 The President knew his Congress after 30 years of experience. He said that he would try to get Congressional support; that is what he has been doing over the past days, having called a number of Congressmen. It is going reasonably well\u2026<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>The President said again the Constitutional processes are basic to actions on matters involving war and peace. We are trying to bring Congress along. He said: \u201cWhat I can do, I do.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Abba Eban later <a href=\"http:\/\/books.google.co.il\/books?id=-fmenQEACAAJ\" target=\"_blank\">gave<\/a> a more devastating version of the \u201cfive-cent\u201d quote: \u201cWhat a president says and thinks is not worth five cents unless he has the people and Congress behind him. Without the Congress I\u2019m just a six-feet-four Texan. With the Congress I\u2019m president of the United States in the fullest sense.\u201d According to the <a href=\"http:\/\/muse.jhu.edu\/journals\/israel_studies\/v004\/4.2shalom.html\">Israeli record<\/a> of the meeting, Johnson also acknowledged that he hadn\u2019t made his own progress on the Hill: \u201cI can tell you at this moment I do not have one vote and one dollar for taking action before thrashing this matter out in the UN in a reasonable time.\u201d And Johnson ultimately <a href=\"http:\/\/www2.gwu.edu\/%7Ensarchiv\/coldwar\/interviews\/episode-17\/eban1.html\">put the onus<\/a> on Israel to get Congress on board: \u201cUnless you people move your anatomies up on the Hill and start getting some votes, I will not be able to carry out\u201d American commitments.<\/p>\n<p>Johnson must have understood the impression he was leaving upon Eban. In the <a href=\"http:\/\/muse.jhu.edu\/journals\/israel_studies\/v004\/4.2shalom.html\">Israeli record<\/a>, there are two remarkable quotes: \u201cI\u2019m not a feeble mouse or a coward and we\u2019re going to try.\u201d And: \u201cHow to take Congress with me, I\u2019ve got my own views. I\u2019m not an enemy or a coward. I\u2019m going to plan and pursue vigorously every lead I can.\u201d That Johnson twice had to insist that he wasn\u2019t a coward suggested that he realized just how feckless he must have seemed.<\/p>\n<p>In his <a href=\"http:\/\/books.google.co.il\/books?id=-fmenQEACAAJ\" target=\"_blank\">two<\/a> <a href=\"http:\/\/books.google.co.il\/books?isbn=0224037404\" target=\"_blank\">memoirs<\/a>, Eban recalled his astonishment at this apparent abdication:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>I remember being almost stunned by the frequency with which [Johnson] used the rhetoric of impotence. This ostensibly strong leader had become a paralyzed president. The Vietnam trauma had stripped him of his executive powers\u2026.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>I\u2019ve often ask myself if there was ever a president who spoke in such defeatist terms about his own competence to act\u2026. When it came to a possibility of military action\u2014with a risk as trivial, in relation to U.S. power, as the dispatch of an intimidatory naval force to an international waterway\u2014he had to throw up his hands in defeat\u2026. On a purely logistical level, this would have been one of the least hazardous operations in American history\u2014the inhibitions derived entirely from the domestic political context. The senators consulted by Johnson were hesitant and timorous. They thought that the possibility of Soviet intervention, however unlikely, could not be totally ignored.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>The revulsion of Americans from the use of their own armed forces had virtually destroyed his presidential function. I was astonished that he was not too proud to avoid these self-deprecatory statements in the presence of so many of his senior associates. I thought that I could see [Defense] Secretary McNamara and [chairman of the Joint Chiefs] General Wheeler wilt with embarrassment every time that he said how little power of action he had.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>The tactical objective, the cancellation of the Eilat blockade, was limited in scope and entirely feasible. It was everything that the Vietnam war was not. Lyndon Johnson\u2019s perceptions were sharp enough to grasp all these implications. What he lacked was \u201conly\u201d the authority to put them to work. Less than three years after the greatest electoral triumph in American presidential history he was like Samson shorn of his previous strength\u2026. With every passing day the obstacles became greater and the will for action diminished. He inhabited the White House, but the presidency was effectively out of his hands.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>After the meeting, Johnson wrote a <a href=\"http:\/\/history.state.gov\/historicaldocuments\/frus1964-68v19\/d139\">letter<\/a> to Israeli prime minister Levi Eshkol, reemphasizing the primacy of the Congress: \u201cAs you will understand and as I explained to Mr. Eban, it would be unwise as well as most unproductive for me to act without the full consultation and backing of Congress. We are now in the process of urgently consulting the leaders of our Congress and counseling with its membership.\u201d This was actually an improvement on the draft that had been prepared for him, and which <a href=\"http:\/\/history.state.gov\/historicaldocuments\/frus1964-68v19\/d139#fn5\">included<\/a> this sentence: \u201cAs you will understand, I cannot act <i>at all<\/i> without full backing of Congress.\u201d (Emphasis added.) That accurately reflected the essence of the message conveyed to Eban, but Johnson was not prepared to admit his total emasculation in writing.<\/p>\n<p>There is a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.jstor.org\/stable\/4328430\">debate<\/a> among historians as to whether Johnson did or didn\u2019t signal a green light to Israel to act on its own. It finally did on June 5.<\/p>\n<p><b>\u201cToo big for business as usual\u201d<\/b><\/p>\n<p>In light of this history, it\u2019s not hard to see why Israel would view any handoff by a president to the Congress in the midst of a direct challenge to a presidential commitment as a sign of weakness and an indication that Israel had better start planning to act on its own. It\u2019s not that Israel lacks friends on the Hill. But in crises where time is short and intelligence is ambivalent\u2014and such are the crises Israel takes to the White House\u2014Israel needs presidents who are decisive.<\/p>\n<p>In <a href=\"http:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/the-press-office\/2013\/09\/10\/remarks-president-address-nation-syria\">seeking<\/a> congressional authorization for military action in Syria, President Obama did not negate his own authority: \u201cI believe I have the authority to carry out this military action without specific congressional authorization.\u201d But \u201cin the absence of any direct or imminent threat to our security,\u201d and \u201cbecause the issues are too big for business as usual,\u201d he went to the Congress, so that \u201cthe country\u201d and \u201cour democracy\u201d would be stronger, and U.S. action would be \u201cmore effective.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Views <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2013\/09\/09\/world\/middleeast\/obama-tests-limits-of-power-in-syrian-conflict.html?pagewanted=all&amp;_r=0\">differ<\/a> differ as to whether the precedent just set will bind Obama (or his successors) in the future. But Israel understandably has no desire to become the test case, should it conclude that immediate action is needed to stop Iran from crossing Israel\u2019s own \u201cred lines.\u201d Iran\u2019s progress might not pose an imminent threat to U.S. security, and a U.S. use of force would definitely be \u201ctoo big for business as usual.\u201d So if those are now the criteria for taking decisions out of the Oval Office, Israel has reason to be concerned.<\/p>\n<p>And they may well be the criteria. In 2007, then-Senator Obama was asked in an <a href=\"http:\/\/www.boston.com\/news\/politics\/2008\/specials\/CandidateQA\/ObamaQA\/\">interview<\/a> specifically about whether the president could bomb suspected nuclear sites in Iran without a congressional authorization. His answer:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Military action is most successful when it is authorized and supported by the Legislative branch. It is always preferable to have the informed consent of Congress prior to any military action.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<blockquote><p>As for the specific question about bombing suspected nuclear sites, I recently introduced <a href=\"http:\/\/beta.congress.gov\/bill\/110th\/senate-joint-resolution\/23\/text\">S.J. Res. [Senate Joint Resolution] 23<\/a>, which states in part that \u201cany offensive military action taken by the United States against Iran must be explicitly authorized by Congress.\u201d<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>That resolution went nowhere, but it establishes a strong presumption that Obama would insist on securing congressional authorization for the future use of force against Iran. Depending on the timing, that could put Israel in an impossible situation similar to that it faced in May 1967. Perhaps that\u2019s why one of Israel\u2019s most ardent supporters, Harvard Law professor Alan Dershowitz, has <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newsmax.com\/AlanDershowitz\/Obama-Red-Line-Iran\/2013\/09\/06\/id\/524313\">urged<\/a> that Obama ask Congress <i>now<\/i> to authorize the use of force against Iran. Senator Lindsey Graham has <a href=\"http:\/\/www.newsmax.com\/Newsfront\/Graham-Authorization-Iran-Strike\/2013\/09\/14\/id\/525705\">proposed<\/a> just that, without waiting for Obama: \u201cI\u2019m not asking the president to come to us; we\u2019re putting it on the table, because if we don\u2019t do this soon, this mess in Syria is going to lead to a conflict between Israel and Iran.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Whether such an authorization-in-advance is feasible is an open question. In the meantime, there\u2019s always the very real prospect that history could do something rare: repeat itself. In 1967, Israel faced a choice between an urgent need to act and waiting for a reluctant Congress to stiffen the spine of a weakened president. Israel acted, and the consequences reverberate to this day. Faced with a similar choice in the future, it is quite likely Israel would do the same.<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px\"><em>This post first <a href=\"http:\/\/www.commentarymagazine.com\/2013\/09\/17\/israel-likes-its-u-s-presidents-strong-2\/\" target=\"_blank\">appeared<\/a> on the<\/em> Commentary <em>blog on September 17.\u00a0<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Israel frets that Obama went to Congress over Syria. If that&#8217;s a precedent for Iran, Israel might have no choice but to strike first. <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/2013\/09\/israel-likes-its-u-s-presidents-strong\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1167,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[101315,101322,1278,622,101327,101316,2386,3547],"class_list":["post-4861","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-1967-war","tag-abba-eban","tag-barack-obama","tag-iran","tag-lyndon-johnson","tag-six-day-war","tag-syria","tag-us-policy"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4861","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1167"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4861"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4861\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4861"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4861"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/sandbox\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4861"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}