{"id":282,"date":"2007-05-09T05:14:40","date_gmt":"2007-05-09T10:14:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/nesson\/2007\/05\/09\/howard\/"},"modified":"2007-05-09T05:14:40","modified_gmt":"2007-05-09T10:14:40","slug":"howard","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/nesson\/2007\/05\/09\/howard\/","title":{"rendered":"howard"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img src='http:\/\/cyber.law.harvard.edu\/nesson\/blog\/wp-content\/howardlederer.gif' alt='' \/><br \/>\nlederer logic<br \/>\non the phone last night excited that his thought over the last year has come together on how poker skill dominates chance<br \/>\nwhat is skill<br \/>\nwhat is chance<br \/>\nfirst howard imagines a form of poker with skill stripped out of it<br \/>\nholdem but without bet bluff fold<br \/>\nbest poker hand wins<\/p>\n<p>he names the winning hand in this game the <em>luckiest hand<\/em><br \/>\nthis is a game of pure chance<\/p>\n<p>compare the role of the <em>luckiest hand<\/em> in no limit hold&#8217;em poker<\/p>\n<p>for pots won without a showdown (which howard estimates to be 60-70% of hands &#8211; data will peg the percentage more precisely) the <em>luckiest hand<\/em> is irrelevant. for these hands skill dominates chance.<\/p>\n<p>for pots won by other than <em>luckiest hand<\/em> (i&#8217;ll be interested to see what the percentage of such hands), skill dominates.<\/p>\n<p>for pots won by the <em>luckiest hand<\/em> the win itself may be attributable in some measure to luck, but how much the player with the  <em>luckiest hand<\/em> wins depends upon the player&#8217;s skill in keeping other players in.<\/p>\n<p><strong>is2k7<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>amar did i hear you say we have two deans coming<br \/>\none from divinity one from public health<br \/>\nwe want them on the panel<\/p>\n<p>who should have an avatar at the table of university<br \/>\nwho should come sit down to talk with us<br \/>\nabout the copyright cocoon surrounding us as we burst to create in cyberspace<\/p>\n<p><em>eon<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>lederer logic on the phone last night excited that his thought over the last year has come together on how poker skill dominates chance what is skill what is chance first howard imagines a form of poker with skill stripped out of it holdem but without bet bluff fold best poker hand wins he names [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":370,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[127,2176],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-282","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general","category-poker","p1","y2007","m05","d09","h00"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/nesson\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/282","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/nesson\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/nesson\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/nesson\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/370"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/nesson\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=282"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/nesson\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/282\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/nesson\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=282"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/nesson\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=282"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/nesson\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=282"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}