{"id":1506,"date":"2004-08-03T10:47:02","date_gmt":"2004-08-03T14:47:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/nateptest\/2004\/08\/03\/no-convention-bounce\/"},"modified":"2004-08-03T10:47:02","modified_gmt":"2004-08-03T14:47:02","slug":"no-convention-bounce","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/natep\/2004\/08\/03\/no-convention-bounce\/","title":{"rendered":"No convention bounce"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a name='a473'><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Members of the press and the Bush administration political shop have been discussing the lack of a&#8221; bounce&#8221; in Kerry&#8217;s numbers for a couple of days now.&nbsp; Besides the fact that many of the earlier polls had been started before the Kerry speech, there are other methodological problems that are usually small but which make a difference in a close race like this.<BR><BR>More important than the methods questions: Many of the president&#8217;s advisers seem to insinuate that Bush will receive a bounce after his convention.&nbsp; But with the Kerry numbers essentially remaining steady, it seems reasonable to predict that Bush&#8217;s numbers will also.&nbsp; I&#8217;m betting that Bush gets no bounce from his TV show either.<BR><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Members of the press and the Bush administration political shop have been discussing the lack of a&#8221; bounce&#8221; in Kerry&#8217;s numbers for a couple of days now.&nbsp; Besides the fact that many of the earlier polls had been started before the Kerry speech, there are other methodological problems that are usually small but which make [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":709,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[46],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1506","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politicks"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5G3PH-oi","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/natep\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1506","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/natep\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/natep\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/natep\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/709"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/natep\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1506"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/natep\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1506\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/natep\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/natep\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/natep\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}