{"id":1035,"date":"2010-09-07T12:09:02","date_gmt":"2010-09-07T16:09:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/?p=1035"},"modified":"2010-09-07T16:16:42","modified_gmt":"2010-09-07T20:16:42","slug":"1035","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/2010\/09\/07\/1035\/","title":{"rendered":"Monkeying with the Three-Timer Statistic"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In spite of my heroic efforts\u2014dragging myself to work on labor day, an achievement that required forsaking a morsel of \u00a0socialist integrity\u2014my attempts at setting up another overnight run of the FIB were thwarted by a &#8220;suppressor below limit&#8221; warning, which made obtaining any sort FIB image an impossibility. Thereby rendering the whole exercise impossible from the get-go. The upside was that I regained my labor day, the downside that I have nothing new to report from the FIB.<\/p>\n<p>This morning I bit the bullet and finally replied to Dave&#8217;s email, meanwhile a week old, apologizing profusely for any offense I may have caused in my request of the full Neptune database, and proffering up my effusive thanks for the file he did provide. I&#8217;ll discuss the situation with Andy in our next meeting (perhaps Friday?) and see what he says, besides of course trying to decipher whatever runes constitute Dave&#8217;s reply.<\/p>\n<p>I decided to return to Friday&#8217;s question of the three-timer statistic, which turned out so differently than I had expected. Did I do something wrong with it? I thought I might compare my curve to what&#8217;s in the Rabosky paper, but in his supplements, the only thing he shows is the sampling probability for each of the subsampling exercises (rather than the overall sampling probability, as I have calculated, for the raw data).<\/p>\n<p>If I didn&#8217;t do anything wrong, then the huge differences between the curves in my three-timer graph and the SIB\/RT graph must lie in one- and two-timers, which I think is the only difference between the two counts. However, this difference would inflate the total diversity considered in SIB\/RT and make the relative difference (between SIB and RT, analogous to the difference between 3T and 3T+PT) smaller&#8230; so, at the end of the day, the SIB\/RT ratio should be higher than the 3T\/(3T+PT) ratio. Which it isn&#8217;t! It&#8217;s lower, and a lot more variable. That variability I don&#8217;t think I can attribute to one- and two-timers, because any addition of those entities to the SIB count will also show up in the RT count, and vice versa.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps the way to tackle the question of whether the algorithm is actually doing what it&#8217;s supposed to do, I&#8217;m best off doing what I did with the SIB\/RT algorithm: make sure the 3T and PT are being calculated properly by adding lines to the function to return those values along with the final %age. Did this, and couldn&#8217;t find much of anything out of the ordinary that would suggest something was going horridly wrong. The only low %ages are in time bins 47 and 48 (32% and 3%, respectively), everything else is above 70%. Unlike in the SIB\/RT calculation. Here&#8217;s another view of the graph (same as last post&#8217;s), but with the x-axis expanded:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/files\/2010\/09\/DiatomPreservation.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-1047\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/files\/2010\/09\/DiatomPreservation-300x171.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"171\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/files\/2010\/09\/DiatomPreservation-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/files\/2010\/09\/DiatomPreservation-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/files\/2010\/09\/DiatomPreservation.png 1050w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t know what to do beyond this. It is what it is, report to Andy, move on? One final thing I could do, I suppose, is correct for the edge effects by comparing the focal bin to the adjacent time bins only, rather than comparing to everything before and everything after. Here&#8217;s the outcome (not much different, as is plainly clear):<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/files\/2010\/09\/DiatomAlroy3TStat.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-1049\" src=\"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/files\/2010\/09\/DiatomAlroy3TStat-300x171.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"171\" srcset=\"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/files\/2010\/09\/DiatomAlroy3TStat-300x171.png 300w, https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/files\/2010\/09\/DiatomAlroy3TStat-1024x585.png 1024w, https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/files\/2010\/09\/DiatomAlroy3TStat.png 1050w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left\">Again, &#8220;preservation&#8221; (or &#8220;sampling probability&#8221;, as I think Alroy calls it) is pretty steady at between 95-100%, with some dips in the Eocene, and a little one in the early Miocene (which doesn&#8217;t show up in the long-range three-timer plot above, presumably because the missing taxa in the bins adjacent to the ~22 Ma time bin with the low %age are present elsewhere in the data set, from whence they can be ranged through).<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left\">The siren howled a little earlier this afternoon, in recognition of Beaudry&#8217;s imminent departure. It&#8217;ll be a tough start to the working day tomorrow knowing my DSA buddy is an ocean away. For today, I&#8217;m calling it quits.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left\">\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In spite of my heroic efforts\u2014dragging myself to work on labor day, an achievement that required forsaking a morsel of \u00a0socialist integrity\u2014my attempts at setting up another overnight run of the FIB were thwarted by a &#8220;suppressor below limit&#8221; warning, which made obtaining any sort FIB image an impossibility. Thereby rendering the whole exercise impossible [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2222,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14607,13584],"tags":[16272,16287],"class_list":["post-1035","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-research-journal","category-timekeeping","tag-diversitye-o","tag-fossil-diatom-fib"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1035","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2222"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1035"}],"version-history":[{"count":16,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1035\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1053,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1035\/revisions\/1053"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1035"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1035"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/kotrc\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1035"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}