{"id":73,"date":"2005-02-18T07:17:19","date_gmt":"2005-02-18T11:17:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dbnews\/2005\/02\/18\/dangerous-games\/"},"modified":"2005-02-18T07:17:19","modified_gmt":"2005-02-18T11:17:19","slug":"dangerous-games","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2005\/02\/18\/dangerous-games\/","title":{"rendered":"Dangerous Games"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a name='a4610'><\/a><\/p>\n<table width=\"537\" border=\"0\">\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/cyber.law.harvard.edu\/blogs\/static\/dowbrigade\/lebanonn.jpg\" width=\"300\" height=\"329\" align=\"left\"><a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Lebanon\">Lebanon<\/a>,<br \/>\n        the modern incarnation of the Phoenician Empire, is in the news again.&nbsp;The<br \/>\n        latest development has the US and UN poobahs trying to use the recent<br \/>\n        assassination of <a href=\"http:\/\/www.boston.com\/news\/globe\/editorial_opinion\/oped\/articles\/2005\/02\/18\/syria_after_hariri\/\">Rafik<br \/>\n        Harari <\/a>to pressure<br \/>\n        Syria<br \/>\n        to withdraw from Lebanon after 15 years of militarily imposed &quot;peace&quot;.<br \/>\n        This could be a dangerous move. Advocating it certainly was for Harari.<\/p>\n<p>Harari, billionaire merchant, master manipulator and Prime Minister<br \/>\n        during most of the period of Syrian domination, had recently broken with<br \/>\n        the Syrian government and advocated their withdrawal, daring to dream<br \/>\n        that it was finally time to recreate an independent and multicultural<br \/>\n        Lebanon.<\/p>\n<p>Modern Lebanon, like most of the nations in the modern Middle East,<br \/>\n        was created by European fiat in 1926, with the breakup of the Ottoman<br \/>\n        Empire, and therein lies the rub.&nbsp; In a fit of geopolitical hubris<br \/>\n        that marked their last serious act as the world&#8217;s major power brokers,<br \/>\n        the Europeans, acting under the guise of the League of Nations, carved<br \/>\n        up the cradle of world oil like a Christmas ham, and divided the spoils<br \/>\n        between them. The crescent of biblical real estate we call Lebanon was<br \/>\n        awarded to the French.<\/p>\n<p>The curious thing about the Syrian invasion and forced peace is the<br \/>\n        legendary Lebanese avocation and skill in politics, at home and around<br \/>\n        the world.&nbsp; Usually,<br \/>\n        when a reasonably stable country is forced to impose on a neighbor to<br \/>\n        curb chaos, anarchy and governmental breakdown, it is because of political<br \/>\n        incompetence, lack of solid leaders or a breakdown of civil norms.&nbsp; In<br \/>\n        the case of Lebanon, the situation spun out of control due to an EXCESS<br \/>\n        of talented politicians, inspirational leaders, active political parties<br \/>\n        and jury rigged political arrangements.<\/p>\n<p>For 30 years after its &quot;independence&quot; from France in 1946, Lebanon existed,<br \/>\n        even thrived, as a complex but functional balancing act between nearly<br \/>\n        equal Christian, Sunni and Shi&#8217;ite populations.&nbsp; They arrived at<br \/>\n        a compromise in which the president must be a Maronite Christian, the<br \/>\n        prime<br \/>\n        minister<br \/>\n        must be a Sunni Muslim, and the speaker of the legislature must be a<br \/>\n        Shi&#8217;a Muslim.<\/p>\n<p> For a long time, as improbable as it seemed, this worked. We remember,<br \/>\n        growing up, when Lebanon was considered a garden state in the desert<br \/>\n        of Arabia, the Switzerland of the Middle East, a beacon of multi-cultural<br \/>\n        tolerance, pragmatic functionalism and regional headquarters of big<br \/>\n        business and banking. We had it on our list of &quot;must-visit&quot; countries,<br \/>\n        especially after finding out they produced a dynamite brand of blond<br \/>\n        hashish.<\/p>\n<p>But at some point during the 70&#8217;s things got out of control,<br \/>\n          politics got<br \/>\n          taken<br \/>\n          to<br \/>\n          the<br \/>\n          next level,<br \/>\n          and<br \/>\n          the labyrinthine<br \/>\n          complexity and organizational talent of the Lebanese was channeled<br \/>\n          out of politics and capitalism and into the most savage and destructive<br \/>\n          internecine warfare the world had ever seen up to that point.<\/p>\n<p>During the height of the Lebanese Civil War, there were so many players,<br \/>\n        factions, armies, power centers, movements and militia&#8217;s that nobody<br \/>\n        could tell them apart without a program, and a program was not available.<br \/>\n        It was less a civil war (which implies two sides), than a free-for-all,<br \/>\n        all-comers-welcome steel-cage death match which featured the popularization<br \/>\n        of many of the modus operandi with which we have unfortunately become<br \/>\n        so familiar; the drive-by shooting, the remote-control car bombs, the<br \/>\n        selective set-ups and assassinations, the suicide bombs, death squads<br \/>\n        and flaming martyrs screaming joyfully to their rewards.<\/p>\n<p>The situation was so chaotic and potentially infectious that the world<br \/>\n        looked on in cautious support when Syria moved in to impose some sort<br \/>\n        of order and stop the violence. No one imagined they would still be there<br \/>\n        25 years later.<\/p>\n<p>As a curious and significant result of the Lebanese war, there has been<br \/>\n        a diaspora of sorts, involving Lebanese politicians. All over the Middle<br \/>\n        East, Latin America, and parts of Europe and Asia, Lebanese politicians<br \/>\n        have<br \/>\n        used their innate gifts to rise to positions of power in their adopted<br \/>\n        homelands.&nbsp; We know first-hand that in Ecuador, the majority of<br \/>\n        the prominent politicians, with names like Bucharam, Nebot and Mahoud<br \/>\n        are originally from Lebanon &#8211; in fact, from two small villages of Maronite<br \/>\n        Christians who for some reason decided Ecuador was the place to be. Similar<br \/>\n        situations exist throughout Latin America.<\/p>\n<p>The theory of comparative advantage says that each country has a natural<br \/>\n        advantage in production of certain goods and services.&nbsp; We would<br \/>\n        hold that each country is also the best at producing certain kinds of<br \/>\n        individuals, with certain skills, talents and innate capacity in one<br \/>\n        particular area of human endeavor.&nbsp; In Lebanon it appears to be<br \/>\n        politicians.<\/p>\n<p>Now the fear is that if the Syrians withdraw, sectarian fighting will<br \/>\n        break out again between Sunnis, Shi&#8217;ites and Christians.&nbsp; However,<br \/>\n        given the newly resuscitated hope for some kind of positive resolution<br \/>\n        in the region, it may be time to let the Lebanese try again. Given their<br \/>\n        historical position and national inclinations, it seems obvious that<br \/>\n        Lebanon will play an important role in the coming denouement -either<br \/>\n        as part of<br \/>\n        the problem or as part of the solution.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>RAFIK HARIRI has joined a pantheon of modern Middle Eastern statesmen<br \/>\n          &#8212; King Faisal Al Saud, President Anwar Sadat, and Prime Minister Itzhak<br \/>\n          Rabin &#8212; who dared to challenge the status quo and paid dearly for their<br \/>\n        vision.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Personally, the Dowbrigade has long believed, (an opinion we share with<br \/>\n        Usama Bin Laden), that the root of the problem lies in that gang of jaded<br \/>\n        European<br \/>\n        power-mongers who sat down with a map of the Ottoman Empire and, besotted<br \/>\n        with petro-lust, started drawing lines in the sand.&nbsp; Until that<br \/>\n        historic perfidy is redressed, hopes for a rational and equitable solution<br \/>\n        to the &quot;Middle East Problem&quot; will remain a seductive mirage.<\/p>\n<p>article<br \/>\n          from the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.boston.com\/news\/globe\/editorial_opinion\/oped\/articles\/2005\/02\/18\/syria_after_hariri\/\">Boston<br \/>\n          Globe<\/a><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Lebanon, the modern incarnation of the Phoenician Empire, is in the news again.&nbsp;The latest development has the US and UN poobahs trying to use the recent assassination of Rafik Harari to pressure Syria to withdraw from Lebanon after 15 years &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2005\/02\/18\/dangerous-games\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":299,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1442],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-73","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-serious-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/299"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=73"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/73\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=73"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=73"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=73"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}