{"id":525,"date":"2005-09-14T23:08:18","date_gmt":"2005-09-15T03:08:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dbnews\/2005\/09\/14\/follow-the-money\/"},"modified":"2005-09-14T23:08:18","modified_gmt":"2005-09-15T03:08:18","slug":"follow-the-money","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2005\/09\/14\/follow-the-money\/","title":{"rendered":"Follow the Money"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a name='a7029'><\/a><\/p>\n<table width=\"537\" border=\"0\">\n<tr>\n<td height=\"394\">\n<p align=\"justify\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/cyber.law.harvard.edu\/blogs\/static\/dowbrigade\/oilmoney.jpg\" width=\"363\" height=\"250\" align=\"left\">Where is Ross Perot when we need him? Every<br \/>\n        time we drive by a gas station lately, we hear this giant sucking sound.&nbsp; Every<br \/>\n        time we read the Business section or check <a href=\"http:\/\/www.forbes.com\/business\/feeds\/ap\/2005\/09\/14\/ap2224627.html\">the<br \/>\n        price of a barrel of oil,<\/a>        we hear the giant sucking sound.&nbsp; Especially, every time we open<br \/>\n        our wallet to pay for a tank of gas, we hear the giant sucking sound.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">There have been an abundance of articles lately on the<br \/>\n        gripping question in everyone&#8217;s mind &#8211; &quot;<a href=\"http:\/\/moneycentral.msn.com\/content\/SavingandDebt\/P58879.asp\">Why<br \/>\n        Are Gas Prices So High?<\/a>&quot;<br \/>\n        Wrong question.&nbsp; As the Dowbrigade has been insisting for some time<br \/>\n        now, the key question to understanding the current radical redirection<br \/>\n        of the economy is &quot;<a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2005\/08\/04\">Where<br \/>\n        is all that money going<\/a>?&quot; <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\"> &quot;Follow the Money&quot;<br \/>\n        is the first rule of any investigation of complex professional<br \/>\n        crime. <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">In the current case, the money trail is wide, deep and<br \/>\n        well-illuminated. Conventional analyses we have read have concentrated<br \/>\n        on complex technical explanations of the <em>cause<\/em> of the increases,<br \/>\n        all featuring some combination of growing demand in China, the effects<br \/>\n        of Hurricane<br \/>\n        Katrina,<br \/>\n        political<br \/>\n        and mechanical<br \/>\n        problems in other producing regions and aging transport and refining<br \/>\n        infrastructure in the US. <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Again and again, &quot;simple<br \/>\n          market factors&quot; are invoked, as if &quot;Supply&quot; and &quot;Demand&quot; were mythic<br \/>\n        supernatural entities whose dictates must be obeyed lest divine destruction<br \/>\n        rain down from the firmament. Macro-economic analysis is good at explaining<br \/>\n        the mechanisms that functioned to raise the price of oil, but not so<br \/>\n        strong in illuminating where the<br \/>\n        money ends<br \/>\n        up.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">The Downrigade prefers to run our economic analyses<br \/>\n        from the ultimate micro-economic perspective &#8211; our individual, week-to-week<br \/>\n        financial reality. Direct Deposit to ATM to wallet to the acquisition<br \/>\n        of goods and services &#8211; the true American pastime.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">According to our admittedly<br \/>\n          less-than-scientific calculations, we are spending  an extra $30<br \/>\n          a week on gasoline, compared to a couple of months ago. Over a year,<br \/>\n        that comes to $1,560. If we make the somewhat dubious but still useful<br \/>\n        assumption that everyone in the country uses as much gas as the Dowbrigade,<br \/>\n        that comes to $US 486 BILLION <em>EXTRA<\/em> dollars, on top of the record<br \/>\n        profits they were ALREADY reporting before the latest runup.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">And this without figuring in the petroleum consumed<br \/>\n        by businesses, to generate electricity, by the government, by the petrochemical<br \/>\n        industries, by the airlines, etc.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">As recently as a year ago, analysts laughed at those<br \/>\n        who proposed that a $1 tax on a gallon of gas could eliminate the national<br \/>\n        debt in one Presidential term.&nbsp; Americans would never stand for<br \/>\n        it, they said. It would throw the economy into a recession, they said.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">So where IS the money going? <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">A lot of it going to foreign national oil companies;<br \/>\n        thinly disguised corporate fronts for the political establishments of<br \/>\n        oil-rich nations &#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.saudiaramco.com\/bvsm\/JSP\/home.jsp\">Aramco<\/a> in<br \/>\n        Saudi Arabia, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ptq.pemex.com\/portal\/\">Pemex<\/a> in<br \/>\n        Mexico, Yukos in Russia, now that it&#8217;s been absorbed by Putin.        <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Some of that money keeps Hugo Chavez in power by allowing&nbsp; him,<br \/>\n        unlike almost every  other Latin American government, to actually<br \/>\n        fund and run programs to improve the lives of the poor people in his<br \/>\n        country, which gets him re-elected in real elections, like it or not. <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Some of that money goes to allow a series of corrupt<br \/>\n        and incompetent&nbsp; governments in <a href=\"http:\/\/del.icio.us\/dowbrigade\/ecuador\">Ecuador<\/a>, an original member of<br \/>\n        OPEC, to stay in power, if only for long enough to loot a few million<br \/>\n        apiece and get out of Dodge. A chunk goes to our good buddies in Saudi<br \/>\n        Arabia to fund Madrastras and shady Muslim charities which, in a grotesque<br \/>\n        irony, are being used as conduits to killing Americans.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">But most of the money is going, directly and indirectly,<br \/>\n        to the giant oil companies and their strategic allies. These companies<br \/>\n        already dominated the global economy, even before the current &quot;energy<br \/>\n        crisis&quot;.&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/www.fortune.com\/fortune\/global500\/fulllist\/0,24394,1,00.html\"> Fortune<br \/>\n        Magazine<\/a> reports that last year, 10 of the 12 biggest companies in<br \/>\n        the world were oil or car companies.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Some of this huge windfall is being disguised, hidden,<br \/>\n        sunk into new exploration and long-term contracts, siphoned into less<br \/>\n        profitable associated industries or transferred to foreign profit-havens,<br \/>\n        but much<br \/>\n        of it cannot<br \/>\n        be disguised and as a result most of these companies are reporting record<br \/>\n        profits every quarter now.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">But is the explosion of prices in the oil industry the<br \/>\n        simple and accidental result of market factors, or has the situation<br \/>\n        been somehow manipulated to shoot the price of oil through the roof?<br \/>\n        Some<br \/>\n        of the truly<br \/>\n        paranoid<br \/>\n        have speculated on the existence of some sort of electromagnetic storm<br \/>\n        magnet drawing Katrina directly down on the Gulf oil infrastructure,<br \/>\n        but one<br \/>\n        needn&#8217;t hypothesize&nbsp; some modern Dr. No or Dr. Evil directing the<br \/>\n        hurricanes from his secret subterranean hideout in order to support<br \/>\n        a conspiracy.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">By neglecting infrastructure and taking advantage of<br \/>\n        the geopolitical situation in a variety of countries, the industry could<br \/>\n        easily have created a situation in which it was inevitable that <em>something <\/em>would<br \/>\n        cause a shortage of supply, and a corresponding increase in price. Then<br \/>\n        all they had to do was sit back and wait for nature and market mechanics<br \/>\n        to do the dirty work.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">The emerging global economy is a huge money machine,<br \/>\n        and the strongest current economic centers of gravity are sure to try<br \/>\n        to emulate the oil companies&quot; s unprecedented redirection of capital.<br \/>\n        Of course, it helps to get one of your own elected to the<br \/>\n        White<br \/>\n        House.<br \/>\n        But not necessary: the long-standing &quot;military-industrial complex&quot; has<br \/>\n        morphed into the &quot;Defense Industries&quot;, and by insinuating themselves<br \/>\n        into halls<br \/>\n        of<br \/>\n        power and maneuvering the country into a perpetual state of war, have<br \/>\n        guaranteed their continuing prosperity well into the new century.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">The<br \/>\n        telecommunications industry is busy as we speak figuring out the optimal<br \/>\n        access and information fee structure for maximizing profits from tomorrow&#8217;s<br \/>\n        always on, all-embracing ubiquitous and unavoidable Internet.&nbsp; In<br \/>\n        the future a person won&#8217;t exist without an internet presence, and they<br \/>\n        are eagerly<br \/>\n        anticipating<br \/>\n        getting<br \/>\n        a payment<br \/>\n        every month, from every man, woman and child in the country, and eventually,<br \/>\n        the world.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Expect other players to make their moves soon. We wouldn&#8217;t<br \/>\n        be surprised, for example, to see the untraceable emergence of an extremely<br \/>\n        unpleasant but non-fatal disease, which can only be kept under control<br \/>\n        by regular administrations of an extremely expensive patented medicine<br \/>\n        available from only one pharmaceutical company&#8230;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Where is Ross Perot when we need him? Every time we drive by a gas station lately, we hear this giant sucking sound.&nbsp; Every time we read the Business section or check the price of a barrel of oil, we &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2005\/09\/14\/follow-the-money\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":299,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1444],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-525","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-prose-screeds"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/525","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/299"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=525"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/525\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=525"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=525"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=525"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}