{"id":2669,"date":"2004-10-26T06:32:31","date_gmt":"2004-10-26T10:32:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dbnews\/2004\/10\/26\/sliding-into-second\/"},"modified":"2004-10-26T06:32:31","modified_gmt":"2004-10-26T10:32:31","slug":"sliding-into-second","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2004\/10\/26\/sliding-into-second\/","title":{"rendered":"Sliding Into Second"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a name='a4056'><\/a><\/p>\n<table width=\"537\" border=\"0\">\n<tr>\n<td width=\"537\">\n<p align=\"left\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/cyber.law.harvard.edu\/blogs\/static\/dowbrigade\/johnter.jpg\" width=\"331\" height=\"409\" align=\"left\">Apparently,<br \/>\n        as the race for the presidency tightens, the jockeying for position is<br \/>\n        becoming intense.&nbsp; Both campaigns are trying hard to push their<br \/>\n        candidate into &#8211; second place.<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">This is to take advantage of the well-established &quot;underdog<br \/>\n        effect&quot;, where Americans tend to support the second-place, come-from-behind,<br \/>\n        we-try-harder candidate. The optimal position on the eve of an American<br \/>\n        elections seems to be just a bit behind, within the margin of error,<br \/>\n        but a point or two below the opposition.<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">This maximizes turnout of partisans who feel that their<br \/>\n        guy has a reasonable chance, but needs THEIR vote to pull it out. Latest<br \/>\n        polling shows a hot contest for the coveted second slot&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">\nThe US election was thrown wide open today as a leading poll put John Kerry ahead<br \/>\n  for the first time.<\/p>\n<p>In a dramatic shift, George Bush has been overtaken by a single percentage point,<br \/>\naccording to the ABC\/Washington Post tracking survey.<\/p>\n<p>It put Mr Kerry on 49 per cent, with President Bush down one point to 48 per<br \/>\ncent &#8211; an exact reversal of their standing yesterday.<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">from the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.thisislondon.co.uk\/news\/articles\/14276393?source=Evening%20Standard\">London Evening Standard<\/a><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">(CNN) &#8212; The presidential race continues to be tight, with<br \/>\n        President Bush possibly holding a slight lead over Sen. John Kerry among<br \/>\n        likely voters, according to a CNN\/USA Today\/Gallup national opinion poll<br \/>\n        released Monday.<\/p>\n<p>        Fifty-one percent of likely voters said they would back Bush, and 46<br \/>\n        percent expressed support for Kerry.<\/p>\n<p>The margin of error was plus or minus 3 percentage points, meaning the true leader<br \/>\nwas unclear.<\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">from <a href=\"http:\/\/edition.cnn.com\/2004\/ALLPOLITICS\/10\/25\/national.poll\/\">CNN<\/a><\/p>\n<p align=\"left\">(Dowbrigade note:&nbsp; The accompanying photo, ripped<br \/>\n        from Drudge, has nothing to do with the content of this posting &#8211; we<br \/>\n        just really liked the picture. Even if he loses and has to slink back<br \/>\n        to his Beacon Hill Townhouse, Kerry will have plenty of neat souvenirs and a hot heiress mama<br \/>\n        to ease the agony of defeat&#8230;.)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Apparently, as the race for the presidency tightens, the jockeying for position is becoming intense.&nbsp; Both campaigns are trying hard to push their candidate into &#8211; second place. This is to take advantage of the well-established &quot;underdog effect&quot;, where Americans &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2004\/10\/26\/sliding-into-second\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":299,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2669","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blogging"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2669","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/299"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2669"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2669\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2669"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2669"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2669"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}