{"id":2657,"date":"2004-10-19T10:01:03","date_gmt":"2004-10-19T14:01:03","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dbnews\/2004\/10\/19\/kerrys-last-chance\/"},"modified":"2004-10-19T10:01:03","modified_gmt":"2004-10-19T14:01:03","slug":"kerrys-last-chance","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2004\/10\/19\/kerrys-last-chance\/","title":{"rendered":"Kerry&#8217;s Last Chance"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a name='a4013'><\/a><\/p>\n<table width=\"537\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p align=\"justify\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/cyber.law.harvard.edu\/blogs\/static\/dowbrigade\/pigmes.jpg\" width=\"537\"><br \/>The<br \/>\n        Presidential election, incredibly, is looking more and more like a replay<br \/>\n        of 2000.&nbsp; The electorate is so deeply and evenly divided that the<br \/>\n        decision may very well come down to a few electoral votes in one of the<br \/>\n        swing states, which in turn may swing on a few thousand votes.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Campaign tactics and spending have shifted from the<br \/>\n        frenetic search for the elusive and dwindling stock of undecided voters<br \/>\n        to equally frenetic and even more crucial<a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2004\/10\/20\/politics\/campaign\/20vote.html?ex=1255924800&amp;en=adda1c857d1c58e0&amp;ei=5090&amp;partner=rssuserland\"> &quot;get out the vote&quot; <\/a>efforts.&nbsp; In<br \/>\n        an election this close, the percentage of their partisans each party<br \/>\n        can deliver on election day will determine the winner.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2004\/10\/20\/politics\/campaign\/20vote.html?ex=1255924800&amp;en=adda1c857d1c58e0&amp;ei=5090&amp;partner=rssuserland\"> &quot;Get out the vote&quot; <\/a>; effort is a massive and sophisticated<br \/>\n        multi-front effort, including targeted telephone trees, institutional<br \/>\n        transportation, grass-roots mobilizations, poll watching and mass emailings.&nbsp; Plus,<br \/>\n        inevitably, black ops designed to impede the efforts of the opposition<br \/>\n        to do the same,<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">Although the race is too close to call, and each side<br \/>\n        unquestionably has a few last minute dirty tricks and a &quot;Halloween Surprise&quot;<br \/>\n        or two up their sleeves (we hope!), lat<a href=\"http:\/\/washingtontimes.com\/national\/20041018-124850-4733r.htm\">est<br \/>\n        internal polling gi<\/a>ve the<br \/>\n        President a slight edge., especially in the key swing states. Two or<br \/>\n        three points, within the margin of error, but enough that Kerry is going<br \/>\n        to need a big last<br \/>\n        minute<br \/>\n        push<br \/>\n        to put<br \/>\n        him<br \/>\n        over the<br \/>\n        top.<\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">In the opinion of this observer, there is only one possible<br \/>\n        place that Kerry can get the juice to overcome whatever nasty surprise<br \/>\n        the dastardly Karl Rove has cooked up for election eve &#8211; and it is the<br \/>\n        Internet. <\/p>\n<p align=\"justify\">The potential for on-line organizing and get-pit-the-vote<br \/>\n        efforts was dramatically demonstrated in South Korea two years ago by<br \/>\n        the dramatic, last minute, internet-fueled, come from behind victory<br \/>\n        of Roh Moo-hyun, hailed as the<a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2004\/03\/12#a2989\"> World&#8217;s<br \/>\n        First Internet President.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>After a similarly hard fought, no-holds-barred campaign resulted in<br \/>\n        an extremely tight race, Roh found himself on the business end of a classic<br \/>\n        election eve dirty trick; the orchestrated defection of a key ally and<br \/>\n        supporter, tipping the balance in favor of conservative candidate Lee<br \/>\n        Hoi Chang. On the day of the voting a massive electronic get-out-the-vote<br \/>\n        mobilization, via email, cell phones and Instant Messaging, advising<br \/>\n        people of the opposition&#8217;s last-ditch move to steal the election, produced<br \/>\n        an<br \/>\n        unprecedented<br \/>\n        turnout<br \/>\n        of younger<br \/>\n        voters<br \/>\n        which gave the victory to Roh.<\/p>\n<p>We are willing to go on the record here<br \/>\n        as predicting that only a similar last minute cyberspace effort by the<br \/>\n        Kerry campaign will be enough to<br \/>\n        put him over the top.&nbsp; Unfortunately, we don&#8217;t think Kerry himself<br \/>\n        is capable of making the commitment to cyberspace necessary to pull<br \/>\n        it off.&nbsp; John Kerry is no Roh Moo-hyun. Roh, a human rights organizer<br \/>\n        before entering politics, is the first world leader who knows how to<br \/>\n        code in HTML.&nbsp;We doubt John Kerry even knows what HTML is.<\/p>\n<p>We are afraid America will have to wait for its own First Internet President.<br \/>\n        It was shocking to hear in the final debate that Bush talked more about<br \/>\n        Information Technology than Kerry! Bush wants to save America by wiring<br \/>\n        health care!&nbsp; Who knew? We may have to wait through four more years<br \/>\n        of this sort of nonsense before an authentic Internet candidate emerges.<\/p>\n<p>But we remain convinced it will happen.&nbsp; Howard Dean was just the<br \/>\n      tip of the iceberg, pointing the way towards what is possible, inevitable,<br \/>\n        and essential &#8211; the technology enabled transformation of American Democracy.<br \/>\n        Although of course it makes a tremendous difference in millions of lives<br \/>\n        who wins this election, in the final analysis both Bush and Kerry are<br \/>\n      conventional American alpha male politicians who don&#8217;t have a clue about<br \/>\n        the changes around the corner in the electorate and the political landscape.<br \/>\n      The stage is being set for <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2003\/12\/29#a2148\">The<br \/>\n      One<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Presidential election, incredibly, is looking more and more like a replay of 2000.&nbsp; The electorate is so deeply and evenly divided that the decision may very well come down to a few electoral votes in one of the swing &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2004\/10\/19\/kerrys-last-chance\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":299,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blogging"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2657","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/299"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2657"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2657\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2657"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2657"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2657"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}