{"id":2407,"date":"2004-05-31T01:17:10","date_gmt":"2004-05-31T05:17:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dbnews\/2004\/05\/31\/dowbrigades-guide-to-ecuadorian-politi"},"modified":"2004-05-31T01:17:10","modified_gmt":"2004-05-31T05:17:10","slug":"dowbrigades-guide-to-ecuadorian-politics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2004\/05\/31\/dowbrigades-guide-to-ecuadorian-politics\/","title":{"rendered":"Dowbrigade&#8217;s Guide to Ecuadorian Politics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a name='a3418'><\/a><\/p>\n<table width=\"537\" border=\"0\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\">\n<tr>\n<td>\n<p>  The<a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2004\/05\/23#a3393\"> tenuous<br \/>\n          truce<\/a> between political and social sectors here in Ecuador,<br \/>\n        for the purpose of presenting a civilized facade for the duration of<br \/>\n        the Miss Universe pageant (next Tuesday, June 1) is in danger<br \/>\n        of collapse as rumors swirl of immanent dictatorship, massive resignation<br \/>\n        or firing of the government, the possibility of a military coup or<br \/>\n          the forceful removal of the President by the Congress. The government<br \/>\n          of Col. Lucio<br \/>\n        Guiterrez is hanging by a thread. In a way, it is refreshing that things<br \/>\n        are getting back to normal in Ecuador &#8211; the &quot;truce&quot; was unnatural.<\/p>\n<p>Let us try to recap the labyrinthine situation in a brief summary.&nbsp; The<br \/>\n        current President, Lucio, was an Army Colonel who participated in an<br \/>\n        abortive coup four years ago,after which he served some time, quit the<br \/>\n        Army, entered politics and got elected, without any discernable support<br \/>\n        in the Congress, the established political parties or the traditional<br \/>\n        centers of economic and social power.&nbsp; He campaigned on an anti-corruption<br \/>\n        platform and won largely because of the support of the millions of neglected<br \/>\n        Indians in the Andean highlands.<\/p>\n<p>Now, 16 months into his 4 year term he has alienated just about every<br \/>\n        group in the country, the national indigenous associations (the aforementioned<br \/>\n        Indians) are claiming he betrayed them, calling for his ouster, and have<br \/>\n        declared June 17 the D-Day for a national &quot;Indian Uprising&quot;. His anti-corruption<br \/>\n        campaign is in tatters, as virtually every original member of his government,<br \/>\n        largely inexperienced Army colonels like himself, have resigned in disgrace.<\/p>\n<p>The first to go was Patricio Ortiz, his first Minister of Social Welfare,<br \/>\n        who was caught diverting humanitarian aid to victims of a volcanic eruption<br \/>\n        into his private Swiss bank account. A few months later Carlos Arboleda,<br \/>\n        Minister of Energy and Mines, resigned for &quot;personal reasons&quot; which,<br \/>\n        according to knowledgeable sources were related to kickbacks for the<br \/>\n        awarding of oil and gold contracts to foreign companies.<\/p>\n<p>Ortiz was replaced by <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2004\/05\/27#a3411\">Patricio<br \/>\n          Acosta<\/a>, the &quot;strongman&quot; of the regime,<br \/>\n        who everybody expected to stick it out til the bitter end. He was fired<br \/>\n        last week after the US State Department canceled his visa to enter the<br \/>\n        US, along with his wife&#8217;s &#8211; she was refused entry at the Miami Airport<br \/>\n        and put on the first flight back to Ecuador. Although the US government<br \/>\n        refuses to divulge the reasons behind the <a href=\"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2004\/05\/27#a3411\">visa<br \/>\n        cancellations<\/a> they may<br \/>\n        have something to do with his naming a known drug dealer to head the<br \/>\n        Ecuador version of the DEA. Acosta has been replaced by Antonio Vargas,<br \/>\n        an ethnic Indian and ex-head of the largest indigenous organization in<br \/>\n        the country.&nbsp; The current head of that organization, and most of<br \/>\n        the Indians in the country, accuse Vargas of &quot;selling out&quot; and Lucio<br \/>\n        of trying to divide the Indian power movement, which has called for his<br \/>\n        resignation and threatened a national &quot;Indian Uprising&quot; for next month.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, Lucio has appointed his brother as the head of the government&#8217;s<br \/>\n        Congressional block, and sent his cousin, a legislator, to attack the<br \/>\n        real political power in the country, ex-President Leon Febres Cordero.<br \/>\n        LFC, as he is known, has transcended mere presidential levels of power<br \/>\n        and has been running the country from the shadows for years.&nbsp; According<br \/>\n        to Lucio, he is currently &quot;knocking on doors&quot; and offering the presidency<br \/>\n        to a variety of possible puppets in anticipation of taking Lucio down.<\/p>\n<p>Poor Ecuador! The country has had 10 presidents in the last 10 years,<br \/>\n        including the first and only woman to occupy the position.&nbsp; She<br \/>\n        lasted less than 24 hours. When Ecuador took the desperate and radical<br \/>\n        measure of trashing their national currency, the Sucre, and adopting<br \/>\n        the US greenback as the coin of the realm, they thought it would draw<br \/>\n        a flood of international investment capital attracted by, we suppose,<br \/>\n        not having to deal with complicated currency exchanges.<\/p>\n<p>But what prudent investor is going to sink his capital in a country<br \/>\n        where Presidents reign for less time than Miss Universe and where the<br \/>\n        rules of the game can change faster than the lineup at the local movie<br \/>\n        theater?<\/p>\n<p>The saving grace of Ecuadorian politics, and the factor that makes it<br \/>\n        a fascinating panorama for up-close observation by a political junkie<br \/>\n        like the Dowbrigade, is the essentially non-violent nature of the Ecuadorian<br \/>\n        people. Throughout all of these uprisings, coups, national strikes and<br \/>\n        internecine warfare, people are almost never actually hurt or killed.&nbsp; The<br \/>\n        resign in disgrace, go into exile, sometimes spend a little time in<br \/>\n        prison.&nbsp; But in terms of institutionalized violence, Ecuador can&#8217;t<br \/>\n        hold a candle to its neighbor Colombia, Israel or even the United States<br \/>\n        itself.<\/p>\n<p>In fact, it would all be great public theater if not for the fact that<br \/>\n        millions of honest, regular people are being held down and locked into<br \/>\n        poverty and underdevelopment by a handful of crooked politicians and<br \/>\n        endemic political instability. Unfortunately, there is no end in sight.<\/p>\n<p>article from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eluniverso.com\/core\/1\/eluniverso.asp?page=noticia&amp;id=8&amp;tab=1&amp;contid=5D80B1DD5CE6469BBFDE01BBFA6401DB&amp;EUID=\">El<br \/>\n      Universo<\/a> (in Spanish)<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The tenuous truce between political and social sectors here in Ecuador, for the purpose of presenting a civilized facade for the duration of the Miss Universe pageant (next Tuesday, June 1) is in danger of collapse as rumors swirl of &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/2004\/05\/31\/dowbrigades-guide-to-ecuadorian-politics\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":299,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1443],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2407","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-esl-links"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2407","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/299"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2407"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2407\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2407"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2407"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/dowbrigade\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2407"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}