{"id":420,"date":"2008-10-10T13:41:06","date_gmt":"2008-10-10T17:41:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.law.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/?p=420"},"modified":"2008-10-10T13:41:06","modified_gmt":"2008-10-10T17:41:06","slug":"the-black-magic-of-financial-innovation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/2008\/10\/the-black-magic-of-financial-innovation\/","title":{"rendered":"The black magic of financial innovation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Arthur C. Clarke&#8217;s third law reads: &#8220;Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.&#8221; What&#8217;s the difference between technology and magic? As <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ooblick.com\/weblog\/2008\/06\/18\/sufficiently-advanced-technology-the-gathering\/\">this blog post points out,<\/a> &#8220;magic&#8221; is the halting of inquiry. With that formulation, it&#8217;s possible that science can paradoxically plunge us into a second Dark Ages, when the world around us are controlled by forces beyond our ken.<\/p>\n<p>It has become obvious that, among recent technological advances, no field has moved so far so quickly as the world of high finance, specifically, the world of complex derivatives. George Soros <a href=\"http:\/\/books.google.com\/books?id=uQOYqEqIiBcC&amp;pg=PA206&amp;lpg=PA206&amp;ots=Ae-Aq8njzE&amp;sig=afxyZRFcJgbWMMv17EYssCCD5hA&amp;ct=result#PPA209,M1\">testified in 1994 to the House Committee on Banking, Finance, and Urban Affairs<\/a>, &#8220;We use derivative instruments to a much lesser extent than generally believed, very largely because we don&#8217;t really understand how they work.&#8221; Both he and Warren Buffett restricted their dabbling in derivatives after being seriously burned.<\/p>\n<p>In his 1994 quote Soros didn&#8217;t mean that he didn&#8217;t know the role derivatives play in the market. Rather, he was pointing out that &#8212; like an iPod, or a jet engine &#8212; it&#8217;s quite difficult to figure out what is going on under the hood of any particular derivative instrument. In other words, they are magic.<\/p>\n<p>Which is not to say that widespread understanding can&#8217;t catch up to complex derivatives to make them safer as bona fide financial instruments. Many derivatives have genuine value: consider weather-based derivatives as a hedge for farmers. A heap of regulation to ensure transparency when useful and block abuse when it&#8217;s not would help close the gap between financial technology and magic.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Arthur C. Clarke&#8217;s third law reads: &#8220;Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.&#8221; What&#8217;s the difference between technology and magic? As this blog post points out, &#8220;magic&#8221; is the halting of inquiry. With that formulation, it&#8217;s possible that science &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/2008\/10\/the-black-magic-of-financial-innovation\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":271,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[415],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-420","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economics"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/420","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/271"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=420"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/420\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=420"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=420"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/archive.blogs.harvard.edu\/anderkoo\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=420"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}